Increased deficit and taxes will impact IT job market according to Janco

Combination of inflation and potential business downturn will slow IT Job Market growth by 50K to 75K jobs

Park City – –Janco has analyzed the potential impact of the proposed tax plans and estimates that 50,000 to 75,000 IT jobs will be lost if the taxes proposed are passed.

The CEO of Janco Associates, Inc., Mr. M. Victor Janulaitis said, “The proposed increased corporate tax rates, reinstatement of the minimum tax, elimination of expensing investments, elimination of reduced capital gains tax, and higher individual tax rates will slow if not stop investments in IT.  This in turn will slow the expansion of the IT job market. This will start as soon as it looks like the taxes may be passed. If inflation rears its head due to increased deficits there could be a double hit.”

Janulaitis added, “A Rice University study, estimates that the US job market will lose over 1 million jobs due to the proposed taxes.  We agree with their conclusion and estimate that the IT job market will shrink by between 50,000 to 75,000 jobs in 2022 and 2023.  At the same time, there is a potential for a downturn or recession as companies adapt to the new higher taxes.  However, in the next two quarters the IT job market will continue to grow.  Growth will be driven by the re-opening of businesses.  Once re-opening is completed, other long term factors will take hold.  In our opinion that will be in the first quarter of 2022.”

IT Job Market Flat for FY 2024

There now are approximately 129K unemployed IT Professionals. The IT job market shrank by over 48,600 jobs in CY 2023. Overall that is a flattening of the long term growth rate pattern of IT job market. However, based on our data and forcast models, there will be modest growth in the IT Job Market of just under 10,000 new jobs added.

IT Job Market Forecast

IT Pros unemployed

Number of Open Jobs for IT Prosa
Data complied and forecast updated by Janco Associates with data as of May 2024

The CEO followed up with, “We continue to forecast that close to 100K new IT jobs will be added by the end of the 4th quarter of this year.  CIOs now are no longer in survival mode.  Now they are looking ahead to the post-pandemic operating environment. “

The full analysis can be found at IT Job Market - Read On

IT Job Market Change - May 2024

IT Job Market grew by 400 jobs last month - lost 9,000 jobs YTD

YTD IT Job Market growth

Updated with the data from the BLS and Janco Associates Inc as of April 2024
Analysis shows that IT Job Market has shrunk by 48,600 jobs in 2023. In the first five (5) month of 2024 the IT job market shrank by 9.000 jobs.

He added, "To support CIOs in managing this process, we have just released our Post Pandemic CIO Management Tool Kit. It contains everything that they need to have a set of functioning infrastructure policies, job descriptions, skill set definitions, compensation data, hiring tools, and post pandemic processes including WFH and cloud processing."

IT Management Tool Kit - Read on

Janco is an international consulting firm that follows issues that concern CIOs and CFOs. The firm publishes a series of IT and business Infrastructure HandiGuides® and Templates including IT Infrastructure Policies and Procedures, Disaster Recovery/Business Continuity Template, Security Template, IT Job Descriptions, and its semi-annual IT Salary Survey.